Remodeling and Application of Stock Option Price Based on Skewed Laplace Distribution Approach
Abstract
This paper proposed a new model to price a stock option based on the Skewed Laplace distribution approach (SLOP). The approach was considered to provide a better option price than Black Scholes Option Price (BSOP) because Skewed Laplace distribution (SL) has a shape parameter that can capture excess skewness and kurtosis frequently found in stock return underlying the option price. In this study, SL’s shape parameter was estimated using a mixture of the Moment Method and Fourth-Order Taylor Series approach. The estimator was different from the majority of prior SL’s shape parameter that was obtained by Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). The proposed shape parameter was easier to obtain relative to the prior parameter because it did not require a Likelihood Function (LH) and the maximization of LH where involved a complicated numerical method. The performance of SLOP was applied to eleven different enterprises that trade stock options at several strike prices. According to the empirical results in this research, it can be summarized that the SL approach yields a better option price model rather than Black Scholes (BS).
Keywords
Full Text:
PDFReferences
[1] A. Karagiorgis, A. Ballis, and K. Drakos. “The skewness-kurtosis plane for cryptocurrencies’ universe”. International Journal of Finance & Economics, vol. 29, no. 2, pp. 2543–2555, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2795.
[2] E. Alphonsus Akpan, K. E. Lasisi, I. U. Moffat, and U. A. Abasiekwere. “Appraisal of excess kurtosis through outlier-modified GARCH-type models”. Communications in Statistics—Simulation and Computation, vol. 52, no. 4, pp. 1523–1537, 2023. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2021.1887225.
[3] P. Uberti. “A theoretical generalization of the Markowitz model incorporating skewness and kurtosis”. Quantitative Finance, vol. 23, no. 5, pp. 877–886, 2023. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2023.2176250.
[4] D. B. Madan and K. Wang. “Option implied VIX, skew and kurtosis term structures”. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, vol. 24, no. 5, p. 2150030, 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219024921500308.
[5] G. Dhesi, B. Shakeel, and M. Ausloos. “Modelling and forecasting the kurtosis and returns distributions of financial markets: Irrational fractional Brownian motion model approach”. Annals of Operations Research, vol. 299, no. 1, pp. 1397–1410, 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-019-03305-z.
[6] J. A. Alzyadat, A. A. Abuhommous, and H. Alqaralleh. “Testing the conditional volatility of Saudi Arabia stock market: Symmetric and asymmetric autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) approach”. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, vol. 25, no. 2, pp. 1–9, 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.37715/jaef.v7i1.5887.
[7] P. Theodossiou and C. S. Savva. “Skewness and the relation between risk and return”. Management Science, vol. 62, no. 6, pp. 1598–1609, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2201.
[8] P. Theodossiou. “Skewed generalized error distribution of financial assets and option pricing”. Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 223–266, 2015. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.219679.
[9] E. Sulistianingsih, N. Satyahadewi, M. N. Mara, and Yundari. “Skewed Laplace distribution for European call option pricing”. In Prosiding Seminar Nasional Matematika dan Statistika (SEMASTAT), 2016.
[10] P. Theodossiou. “Financial data and the skewed generalized t distribution”. Management Science, vol. 44, no. 12, pp. 1650–1661, 1998. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.44.12.1650.
[11] E. Sulistianingsih, D. Rosadi, and M. A. Bakar. “Credible delta gamma (theta) normal value at risk for assessing European call option risk”. Sains Malaysiana, vol. 53, no. 9, pp. 3197–3213, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17576/jsm-2024-5309-23.
[12] T. J. Kozubowski and K. Podgorski. “Skew Laplace distributions. I. Their origins and interrelations”. Mathematical Scientist, vol. 33, no. 1, 2008. DOI: https://doi.org/10.37715/jaef.v7i1.5887.
[13] T. J. Kozubowski and K. Podgórski. “Asymmetric Laplace laws and modeling financial data”. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, vol. 34, no. 9–11, pp. 1003–1021, 2001. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0895-7177(01)00114-5.
[14] A. Azzalini. “A class of distributions which includes the normal ones”. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, pp. 171–178, 1985. DOI: https://doi.org/10.37715/jaef.v7i1.5887.
[15] K. Jagannathan. Statistical Inference and Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Skewed Double Exponential Models. Bowling Green State University, 2005.
[16] O. Arslan and A. I. Genc. “The skew generalized t distribution as the scale mixture of a skew exponential power distribution and its applications in robust estimation”. Statistics, vol. 43, no. 5, pp. 481–498, 2009. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02331880802401241.
[17] J. Miguel Marín and G. Sucarrat. “Modelling the skewed exponential power distribution in finance”. In Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance, pp. 279–286, 2012. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-88-470-2342-0_33.
[18] R. Gerlach, Z. Lu, and H. Huang. “Exponentially smoothing the skewed Laplace distribution for value-at-risk forecasting”. Journal of Forecasting, vol. 32, no. 6, pp. 534–550, 2013. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2255.
[19] K. Yu and J. Zhang. “A three-parameter asymmetric Laplace distribution and its extension”. Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods, vol. 34, no. 9–10, pp. 1867–1879, 2005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03610920500199018.
[20] U. J. Dang, M. P. Gallaugher, R. P. Browne, and P. D. McNicholas. “Model-based clustering and classification using mixtures of multivariate skewed power exponential distributions”. arXiv preprint arXiv:1907.01938, 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00357-022-09427-7.
[21] P. Theodossiou and L. Trigeorgis. “Option pricing when log-returns are skewed and leptokurtic”. In Proceedings of the Eleventh Annual Conference of the Multinational Finance Society, 2003.
[22] T. G. Bali and P. Theodossiou. “Risk measurement performance of alternative distribution functions”. Journal of Risk and Insurance, vol. 75, no. 2, pp. 411–437, 2008. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2008.00266.x.
[23] O. Arslan. “An alternative multivariate skew Laplace distribution: Properties and estimation”. Statistical Papers, vol. 51, pp. 865–887, 2010. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-008-0183-7.
[24] F. Z. Doğru and O. Arslan. “Mixture regression modelling based on the shape mixtures of skew Laplace normal distribution”. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, vol. 93, no. 18, pp. 3403–3420, 2023. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2023.2226281.
[25] R. Tovar-Falon and G. Martinez-Florez. “A new class of exponentiated beta-skew-Laplace distribution”. Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências, vol. 94, no. 4, e20191597, 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/0001-3765202220191597.
[26] A. Otto, A. Bekker, J. T. Ferreira, and O. Arslan. “Alternative skew Laplace scale mixtures for modeling data exhibiting high-peaked and heavy-tailed traits”. Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 701–738, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s42081-024-00251-4.
[27] G. Aryal and S. Nadarajah. “On the skew Laplace distribution”. Journal of Information and Optimization Sciences, vol. 26, no. 1, pp. 205–217, 2005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02522667.2005.10699644.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18860/cauchy.v11i2.44222
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2026 Evy Sulistianingsih, Muhammad Fikri, Pitriani -

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Editorial Office
Mathematics Department,
Maulana Malik Ibrahim State Islamic University of Malang
Gajayana Street 50 Malang, East Java, Indonesia 65144
e-mail: cauchy@uin-malang.ac.id

CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.








