The Effect of External Factors on Consumption Electricity Loads Forecasting using Fuzzy Takagi-Sugeno Kang

Gayatri Dwi Santika, wayan f mahmudy

Abstract


This study applied Fuzzy Inference System Sugeno to forecast electrical load by considering the external factors. To see the accuracy of forecasting using Fuzzy Inference System Sugeno, then a comparison between the forecasting results of Fuzzy Inference System Sugeno using historical data with Fuzzy Inference System Sugeno using external factors was done. By using external factors method, resulted the smallest RMSE of 0762 and using historical data obtained error (RMSE) of 1028. The results of the study came to the conclusion that Fuzzy Inference System Sugeno method using external factors to forecast the consumption of electrical load gives a better result than Fuzzy Inference System Sugeno using only historical data.

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.18860/mat.v9i1.3968

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© All rights reserved 2015. MATICS , ISSN : 1978-161X | e-ISSN :  2477-2550